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Russia and the West on the Brink

April 20, 2021

Episode Notes:

The Warcast last covered the crisis between Russia and Ukraine on April 9. Since then, things have gotten much, much worse. Russia has amassed over 100,000 troops and significant weaponry along its border with Ukraine, the United States announced additional sanctions against Russia, Moscow expelled 10 U.S. diplomats in response, and the U.S. ambassador to Moscow returned to the United States for consultations. At the same time, Alexei Navalny — the imprisoned opposition leader who survived a poisoning attempt last year by Russian intelligence — is in declining health as he enters the third week of a hunger strike.

Michael Kofman — a senior research scientist at CNA and a senior fellow at CNAS — joins the Warcast to give us some perspective on how dangerous this moment is between Russia and the West, and what Washington can and should do moving forward.


[ 01:17 ] How dangerous is this moment between Russia and the West?

[ 03:00 ] If Russia does invade Ukraine, will U.S. officials and outside analysts be able too see it coming?

[ 04:43 ] Given the shortage of good options to respond to this crisis, what should the United States and the West do now?

[ 07:32 ] We’re recording this on April 20. By May 1, will Russia have invaded Ukraine?

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